The Stats Zone
March 11 2025, 18:26 · Rob Esteva

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Preview & Prediction | 2025 Indian Wells Open (BNP Paribas Open) | Round of 16

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Preview & Prediction | 2025 Indian Wells Open (BNP Paribas Open) | Round of 16

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We have a cracking tie lined up for the round of 16 which would be befitting of a later round as 10th-seed Tommy Paul takes on fifth-seed Daniil Medvedev

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time: Wednesday 12th March, 2025: UK – not before 1:00am / Tuesday 11th March, US ET – not before 9:00pm / US PT – not before 6:00pm

Venue:  Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, USA

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev ticket information

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Tommy Paul has had a comfortable route through to the round of 16 so far having beaten Tristan Boyer and Cam Norrie in straight sets.

He will however face a stiff test now however as he comes up against fifth-seed Daniil Medvedev on court one on Tuesday.

The pair have met four times before and it is Medvedev who has won three of those meetings. That said, it was Tommy Paul who won the last meeting in Rome last year 6-1 6-4 albeit on clay. They met in the semis at Indian Wells last year and Medvedev won in a three-set battle 1-6 7-6 6-2.

Medvedev was handed a walkover in the last round as Alex Michelsen withdrew after just two games of that match. With Medvedev winning his opening match against Yunchaokete Bu 6-2 6-2, there is a chance that while he is well rested, he may be a little under-cooked coming into a match like this.

He will have to hit the ground running against Paul and that may be easier said that done. He comes in as the marginal favourite but we are not sure we go with that here. Paul could well be the sharper of the two and he could make a fast start pay off. We see this going deep and our preference is on game betting and the overs.

Tommy Paul vs Daniil Medvedev Tip: Over 22.5 total games