Tommy Paul vs Cristian Garin Preview & Prediction | 2025 U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championships | Round of 16

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Tommy Paul meets wildcard Cristian Garin for a place in the Houston quarter-finals.

Ranking points: ATP 250

Start date/time: Thursday 3rd April, 2025: UK – not before 12:00am / US ET – not before 7:00pm (Wednesday) / US PT – not before 4:00pm (Wednesday)

Venue: River Oaks Country Club, Houston, USA 

Surface: Outdoor clay

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Tommy Paul vs Cristian Garin ticket information

Tommy Paul vs Cristian Garin prediction

Top seed Tommy Paul will hope to end his Houston hoodoo when he takes on Cristian Garin for a spot in the quarter-finals.

The American world number 13 has a losing 2-4 record in the tournament and has yet to move beyond round two in four appearances here. 

Paul has a solid clay-court game but it is statistically his weakest surface which makes him vulnerable transitioning from a hard court against an expert exponent of the terre battue like Garin. 

The Chilean, who lifted the title here in 2019, did not cough up a break point and was ruthless at the net in his confident 6-3 6-4 win over Alexander Ritschard in round one. 

The world number 133 also boasts a 2-1 head-to-head record against Paul, triumphing on their two most recent meetings on the clay courts of Rome in 2023 and Roland Garros in 2022. 

There’s every chance there could be an upset in this one, but we are backing Paul to use the home support to edge through.

Tommy Paul vs Cristian Garin tip: Tommy Paul to win 2-1