The Stats Zone
February 25 2022, 10:40 · Adam Evans

Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal – Semi-Final – Preview & Prediction | 2022 Mexican Open

Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal – Semi-Final – Preview & Prediction | 2022 Mexican Open

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THE FACTS

When is Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal on and what time does it start? Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal will take place on Saturday 26th February, 2022 – not before 04:00 (UK)

Where is Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal taking place? Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal will take place at the Arena GNP Seguros in Acapulco, Mexico

What surface is Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal being played on? Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal will take place on an outdoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal? Visit this link for the latest ticket information for Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal

What channel is Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal on in the UK? Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal will be televised live on the Amazon Prime app on Smart TVs

Where can I stream Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal in the UK? Amazon Prime subscribers can stream Daniil Medvedev vs Rafael Nadal live on Prime Video, while Tennis TV subscribers can also stream the match live

THE PREDICTION

26-year-old Daniil Medvedev will become the first world number one in Men’s tennis not called Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic or Andy Murray since 2004, when Andy Roddick topped the standings. Current number one Djokovic’s shock defeat by Jiri Vesely in Dubai means Medvedev will take first place next Monday no matter the outcome here, another huge milestone ticked off for the Russian. Medvedev is yet to drop a set this week in Acapulco to set-up a huge, almost immediate rematch with world number five Rafael Nadal, who beat him in a modern classic Australian Open final last month to break the Men’s Open Era Grand Slam record with 21 titles. 35-year-old Nadal also takes a perfect Mexican Open record into this exciting semi-final clash, with the winner on Sunday likely to come from these two.

The slow hardcourts in Acapulco are likely to suit Rafael Nadal’s game and heavy topspin better than Daniil Medvedev’s world-beating flat forehand that favours the faster surfaces. What is more, Nadal leads this head-to-head record 4-1 now after that thriller in Melbourne and the Spaniard has won each of their three finals so far. Medvedev’s solitary victory came in the semi-finals of the ATP Finals in conditions that suited him best and that makes taking Nadal to win outright here the sensible call. Each of their last four meetings have required a deciding set and taking the match to see three sets instead of picking a winner could be a suitable alternative.