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November 16 2023, 11:19 · Adam Evans

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Preview & Prediction | 2023 ATP Finals | Group Stage

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Preview & Prediction | 2023 ATP Finals | Group Stage

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

THE FACTS

When is Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev on and what time does it start? Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev will take place on Friday 17th November, 2023 – 13:30 (UK)

Where is Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev taking place? Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev will take place at Pala Alpitour in Turin, Italy

What surface is Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev being played on? Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev will take place on an indoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev? Click here for the latest ticket information for Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

What channel is Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev on in the UK? Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev will be televised live on the Amazon Prime Video app on Smart TVs

Where can I stream Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev in the UK? Amazon Prime subscribers can stream Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev live on the Prime Video app

THE LOWDOWN

World number two Carlos Alcaraz beat Andrey Rublev in straight sets on Wednesday to bounce back from a three-set defeat to Alexander Zverev on his ATP Finals debut on Monday. The 20-year-old can still qualify for the semi-finals if he beats Daniil Medvedev, who is already through, or if Rublev manages to defeat Zverev in the later match on Friday – although there are plenty of more difficult parameters still at play. Alcaraz had six ATP titles at the start of 2022 and he doubles that total this season with a stellar first two thirds of the season, culminating in an era-defining five-set victory over Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon in July, but recent back and foot issues have seen him look out of sorts in recent matches.

World number three Daniil Medvedev booked his place in the semi-finals of the ATP Finals with a solid victory over tour rival Alexander Zverev on Wednesday night. The 27-year-old faces either Jannik Sinner or Novak Djokovic, most likely, in the semi-finals and it is difficult to suggest whom he would rather avoid after recently finishing runner-up to Sinner Vienna and Beijing after a one-sided defeat to Djokovic in the US Open final. Medvedev still has the most wins on tour this season, now at 67 to Alcaraz’ 65, with five more ATP titles to show for it. The Russian won the ATP Finals in 2020 in form that saw him eventually lift his maiden Grand Slam title at the US Open the following year.

THE PREDICTION

Daniil Medvedev upset then defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals of the US Open back in September to level their head-to-head record at two wins apiece, with Alcaraz blasting past the Russian en-route to the Wimbledon title in July. Alcaraz at his best looked to have found an infallible method for neutralising Medvedev’s deep court position on his favoured hardcourts but it remains to be seen if that US Open defeat was more about the Spaniard being off of his best since August or Medvedev finding the counter measure.

This is a must win for Alcaraz and, arguably, a better-to-lose match for Medvedev if he would like to avoid Novak Djokovic before the final. Jannik Sinner looks likely to come through the opposing group as the top seed barring a shock defeat to Holger Rune on Thursday, so coming through this group behind Alcaraz may not be the worst option despite the Italian’s excellent campaign so far. Motivation could be a factor here with Alcaraz desperate and the Spaniard has won at least a set in the last three of their four encounters. Take that option here to avoid a result.

BETTING TIP: CARLOS ALCARAZ TO WIN A SET

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