Poland vs Lithuania Preview & Prediction | 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifying (UEFA)

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Poland will be looking to qualify for their third successive FIFA World Cup for the first time since their golden generation in the 1970s and 1980s. They kick off their campaign against Lithuania.

Kick-off date/time: Friday 21st March, 2025: UK – 7:45pm / US ET – 3:45pm / US PT – 12:45pm

How to watch on TV: UK – TBC / US – Not televised

How to watch online: UK – TBC / US – Fox Soccer Plus

Key Stats

This is the first World Cup qualifying match between these teams and the first competitive fixture. Each of their previous encounters were friendly matches, the most recent of which was a 4-0 home victory for Poland in 2018.
Poland have lost only three of their last 21 World Cup qualifying matches (W15 D3).
Poland have won nine of their last 11 World Cup qualifying matches in Poland (D1 L1).
Poland have lost four and drawn one of their last five international matches.
Robert Lewandowski is the second top European scorer in World Cup qualifying history with 30 goals. Only Cristiano Ronaldo (36) has scored more.
Robert Lewandowski scored twice the last time these teams met, in a 4-0 victory for Poland in a friendly in 2018.
Lithuania have won only one of their last 15 World Cup qualifying matches (D1 L13).
Lithuania are without a win in their last 12 World Cup qualifying matches outside of Lithuania (D3 L9). Their last success was a 2-0 victory at Liechtenstein in October 2012.
Lithuania have lost their last six international matches.

Poland vs Lithuania Prediction

Michal Probierz led Poland to UEFA EURO 2024 with playoff wins against Estonia and Wales last year but they, once again, underwhelmed at a major tournament with a group stage exit despite a draw with France. They face what is a limited Lithuania side in Warsaw this week.

Poland have been able to select Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski, despite the fact the 36-year-old didn’t play in the UEFA Nations League in the autumn and the fact Barca are fighting for a treble this season. They are, though, without the likes of Sebastian Walukiewicz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zielinski and Arkadiusz Milik.

They now face a Lithuania side that were most recently beaten 1-0 by Kosovo in Pristina during the November international break in a game in which the Kosovans were down to ten men for the entirety of the second-half. The Lithuanians failed to collect a single point from League C Group 2 in the UEFA Nations League.

Poland, despite their inconsistencies and generally unconvincing performances in the last 12 months, are the firm favourites for this one, especially with their home advantage.

Poland vs Lithuania Tip: Poland to win