The Stats Zone
November 12 2021, 11:58 · Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams at UFC Fight Night 197

MMA Preview – Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams at UFC Fight Night 197

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MIGUEL BAEZA VS KHAOS WILLIAMS FACTS

When is UFC Fight Night 197? Saturday 13th November, 2021 - 19:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Fight Night 197? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night 197? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events

What channel is UFC Fight Night 197 on? BT Sport 2

Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 197? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

MIGUEL BAEZA VS KHAOS WILLIAMS LOWDOWN

Miguel Baeza (10-1) is coming off that hugely deflating loss against Santiago Ponzinibbio in June. He rocketed up the welterweight ranks after three ruthless finishes in his first three UFC fights. He chopped down and TKO’d Hector Aldana (2019) on his debut, starched Matt Brown (2020) and then threw Takashi Sato (2020) around before cinching a beautiful arm-triangle choke. He was then handed Santiago Ponzinibbio who had not won since 2018 after a knockout loss on his comeback fight but the Argentinian rallied to pull off a unanimous decision win handing Baeza the first loss of his promising career.

Khaos Williams (12-2) also suffered a deflating unanimous decision loss recently. He took on Michel Pereira in December last year riding an eight-fight win streak which included a dream start to his UFC career. He absolutely smoked Alex Morono and Abdul Razak Alhassan to notch the fifth first-round knockout of his career. Pereira snapped the win streak with a unanimous decision, but Williams is already back on track after sealing a unanimous decision of his own against Matt Semelsberger in June.

MIGUEL BAEZA VS KHAOS WILLIAMS PREDICTION

This is a mouth-watering match-up and destined to be absolute fireworks. Williams has the touch of death in his hands and Baeza also possesses venomous power with devastating leg kicks.

This will really depend on how Baeza decides to attack. If he decides to trade on the feet, a knockout is likely either way. If he decides to grapple and show off his jiu-jitsu, he has an easy path to victory as long as he defends his chin while shooting in.

Baeza’s only weakness seems to be his defence and he cannot afford to eat any clean shots from Williams. Williams can also be technical with a strong jab and rip to the body so the Brazilian has to approach this carefully.

Baeza needs to be unpredictable and attack Williams’ legs with his thunderous kicks and counter with his savage looping hooks from range. Then, he can shoot in for a takedown. If he gets the fight to the floor, we should see his black belt skills seal another submission.

Overall, a knockout either way and a Baeza submission is most likely. Williams is the value bet as the underdog especially as we expect the majority of this fight to play out on the feet, but Baeza has more tools.

Prediction: Baeza via Submission - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Williams via KO/TKO