The Stats Zone
October 1 2021, 14:17 · Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus at UFC Vegas 38

MMA Preview – Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus at UFC Vegas 38

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KEVIN HOLLAND VS KYLE DAUKAUS FACTS

When is UFC Vegas 38? Saturday 2nd October, 2021 -21:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC Vegas 38? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC Vegas 38? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events

What channel is UFC Vegas 38 on? BT Sport 3

Where can I stream UFC Vegas 38? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

KEVIN HOLLAND VS KYLE DAUKAUS LOWDOWN

The Kevin Holland (21-7) bubble finally popped this year after his his ground game got exposed by Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori who simply wrestled him for five rounds each. He has been the most active fighter in the UFC fighting 12 times since his debut in 2018. 2019 did not end how he would of liked getting submitted by Brendan Allen but 2020 could not have gone better. He fought five times kicking the year off with knockouts over Anthony Hernandez and Joaquin Buckley and followed it up with a split decision over Darren Stewart. He then TKO’d Charlie Ontiveros with a slam and capped the year off with his biggest win which was a crazy knockout off his back against Jacare Souza.

Kyle Daukaus (10-2) has also been active over the years. He won the vacant Cage Fury FC middleweight tile in 2019 by submitting Jonavin Webb and then won a unanimous decision on the Contender Series before making his first defence of the title. He submitted Stephen Regman and repeated the feat against Nolan Norwoof before finally getting the call-up. He was a short-notice replacement against Allen and put up a valiant effort but lost a unanimous decision. With more time to prepare, he outpointed Dustin Stoltzfus, but he lost again back in May dropping another unanimous decision to Phil Hawes to go 1-2 in the UFC.

KEVIN HOLLAND VS KYLE DAUKAUS PREDICTION

Holland got humbled and dominated by superior wrestlers. We know Daukaus is a jiu-jitsu ace with eight out of his 10 wins coming via submission, but he is not a top tier wrestler like Brunson and Vettori and he should be a bigger underdog.

Before his two losses, Holland was murking everyone including experienced strikers. Daukaus is a decent striker, but he is not on Holland’s level who will boast an important five-inch reach advantage.

Daukaus will hunt the takedown and will be dangerous if he gets the fight to the floor, but Holland is also a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. Holland’s recent training camps and 50 minutes with Brunson and Vettori can also only improve his takedown defence.

This is odd matchmaking, and we expect Holland to be able to defend enough takedowns to unleash his speed, range and power on the feet to secure a knockout.

Prediction: Holland via KO/TKO - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value Bet: Holland via KO/TKO