The Stats Zone
March 3 2023, 13:45 · Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones at UFC 285

MMA Preview – Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones at UFC 285

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

CODY GARBRANDT VS TREVIN JONES FACTS

When is UFC 285? Sunday 5th March, 2023 - 01:00 start (UK)

Where is UFC 285? T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada (US)

Where can I get tickets for UFC 285? Click here to buy tickets for UFC 285

What channel is UFC 285 on? BT Sport 1

Where can I stream UFC 285? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

CODY GARBRANDT VS TREVIN JONES LOWDOWN

We are not sure how much fight Cody Garbrandt (12-5) has left in him, but it is great see him back. He is 1-5 in his last six and his gym wars have truly caught up with him. He was sitting pretty with an unbeaten record and the bantamweight title on the shoulder before TJ Dillashaw (2017 and 2018) knocked him out twice in a row. Pedro Munhoz (2019) made it three before the he bounced back with the best knockout of his career over Raphael Assuncao (2020). However, he is coming off two more losses – a unanimous decision to Rob Font (2021) and a knockout to Kai Kara-France (2021) down at flyweight.

He was preparing to take on Julio Arce who unfortunately had to pull out with a knee injury. Trevin Jones (13-9(1)) has wilfully stepped in for the biggest opportunity of his career. However, like Garbrandt, he is bringing some miserable form to the pay-per-view card. He is coming off three straight losses – a submission to Saidyokub Kakhramonov (2021) and unanimous decisions to Javid Basharat and Raoni Barcelos last year.

CODY GARBRANDT VS TREVIN JONES PREDICTION

This is a welcome step-down in competition for Garbrandt. However, when your chin is as compromised as his you are one strike away from the night and potentially your UFC career from being over.

Garbrandt has the experience, the skill and the power to add Jones to the highlight reel. Jones on the other hand will boast a five-inch reach advantage. We certainly expect him to leverage it to find the damaged chin, but as soon as he feels Garbrandt’s power, he will shoot.

Jones has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and he will be happy to duke it out on the canvas. However, Garbrandt is also a top tier wrestler and he will be able to stuff any takedowns.

So, we expect the majority of this to be contested on the feet where the former champion is in a different league. Jones is worth a punt as the underdog especially considering Garbrandt’s form, but on paper, he is not on the same level as his previous opponents, and we expect him to get back in the win column.

A knockout is likely, but Jones is durable, and we expect a more patient display from Garbrandt taking this to the bell.

Prediction: Garbrandt via Decision - CLICK HERE FOR PARIMATCH'S WELCOME OFFER (BET £5, GET £30 IN BONUSES!)

Value bet: Jones to win