The Stats Zone
July 26 2024, 13:18 · Ewan Lavender

MMA Preview – Christian Leroy Duncan vs Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 304

MMA Preview – Christian Leroy Duncan vs Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 304

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN VS GREGORY RODRIGUES FACTS

When is UFC 304? Sunday 28th July, 2024 - 01:00 (UK)

Where is UFC 304? Co-op Live, Manchester (UK)

Where can I get tickets for UFC 304? Click here to buy tickets for UFC 304

What channel is UFC 304 on? TNT Sports 1

Where can I stream UFC 304? TNT Sports subscribers can stream the fight online via the TNT Sports website and Discovery+

For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN VS GREGORY RODRIGUES LOWDOWN

We can get used to Christian Leroy Duncan (10-1) gracing UK cards. He has maintained his reputation gained on the Cage Warriors scene as an electrifying striker who does not do boring fights. His debut did not really get started and lost a tight decision to Armen Petrosyan (2023) but has gone on to reel off two vintage knockouts over Denis Tiuliulin (2023) and Claudio Ribeiro (2024) to bump his UFC record up to 3-1.

He was scheduled to fight Robert Bryczek who pulled out and now has a more dangerous matchup in Gregory Rodrigues (15-5). He has developed his own reputation as a knockout artist and is 4-1 in his last five. He smoked Julian Marquez (2022) and Chidi Njokuani (2022) before receiving a taste of his own medicine from Bruno Ferreira (2023). Now, he is coming off two more ruthless knockouts over Tiuliulin (2023) and Brad Tavares (2024) to go 6-2 in the big time.

CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN VS GREGORY RODRIGUES PREDICTION

This is a tougher matchup for Duncan especially if Rodrigues mixes in his wrestling. If the Brazilian decides to stand in front of him, Duncan will look like a beast. He will be very dangerous in the first round with an array of flashy attacks. Considering Rodrigues’ defence, we can see the Brit stealing the show with an early finish.

However, if the Brazilian can weather the early storm and subdue Ducan with his wrestling, he can wear him down and drain the gas tank. He also has a black belt in jiu-jitsu so would be very wise to try and get this to the mat.

He has more tools to win and represents the value as the underdog. However, we feel the belief in his knockout power will work in Duncan’s favour who will have the crowd behind him.

Prediction: Duncan via KO/TKO

Value Bet: Rodrigues to win