MMA Preview – Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Fight Night 199
CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ GAMROT FACTS
When is UFC Fight Night 199? Saturday 18th December, 2021 - 22:00 start (UK)
Where is UFC Fight Night 199? UFC APEX, Enterprise, Nevada (US)
Where can I get tickets for UFC Fight Night 199? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC events
What channel is UFC Fight Night 199 on? BT Sport 3
Where can I stream UFC Fight Night 199? BT Sport subscribers can stream the fight online via the BT Sport website
For viewers in the United States, the event will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!
CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ GAMROT LOWDOWN
Carlos Diego Ferreira (17-4) was surging up the lightweight ranks a couple years ago. He lost his third and fourth UFC fights to Beneil Dariush (2014) and Dustin Poirier (2015) but then barely put a foot wrong collecting six quality wins capping the streak off with a submission over the former champion Anthony Pettis (2020). He was then awarded with a rematch against Dariush who was also flying up the ranks however, he could not quite get revenge losing a split decision. He was then handed another beast of a grappler in Gregor Gillespie and a back-and-forth battle eventually getting TKO’d in the second round.
Mateusz Gamrot (19-1(1)) arrived to the UFC last October with a ton of hype protecting an unbeaten record. He was paired with Guram Kutateladze and put on a very entertaining scrap which could have gone either way but finally suffered a dent in the record losing a split decision. However, he has since reminded everyone why there was a hype train earning two ‘performance of the night’ bonuses by knocking out Scott Holtzman and submitting Jeremy Stephens this year.
CARLOS DIEGO FERREIRA VS MATEUSZ GAMROT PREDICTION
Their bread and butter is their grappling as decorated jiu-jitsu practitioners. They are also quality wrestlers, especially Gamrot but we expect their elite-level skills to cancel each other out for the majority of the fight at least.
This will create a stand-up battle and as they are both extremely aggressive, we could see a war. Gamrot is the more technical striker, but Ferreira possesses a four-inch reach advantage and the unpredictability to put Gamrot in trouble.
This can go either way and the wilder it gets the more you have to back Ferreira who will predatorily pounce on the back in a scramble. That said, we are backing the technique and power of Gamrot to win the stand-up battle inflicting a lot of damage with his straight right hand and he also has the wrestling to dictate how deep they go in the grappling exchanges.
We could not see the Brazilian going on a three-fight skid a year ago, but he is not getting any younger this is a very tough fight for him. There is value in him as the underdog, but Gamrot is a beast who is only getting better.
Prediction: Gamrot via Decision
Value Bet: Ferreira to win
