José Aldo vs Mario Bautista at UFC 307 | Preview & Prediction
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UFC legend Jose Aldo returns to action and the veteran Brazilian will meet Mario Bautista in the bantamweight division
JOSÉ ALDO VS MARIO BAUTISTA FACTS
When is UFC 307? UK – the extra preliminary card starts at 11:00pm on Saturday October 5th, 2024, followed by the preliminary card at 1:00am and the main card at 3:00am / USA – 6:00pm/8:00pm/10:00pm ET and 3:00pm/5:00pm/7:00pm PT
What time are Jose Aldo and Mario Bautista expected to walk out? The approximate walk out time for this fight is 4:15am UK, 11:15pm ET, 8:15pm PT
Where is UFC 307? Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Where can I get tickets for UFC 307? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC 307
What TV channel is UFC 307 on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – ESPN+
Where can I stream UFC 307? UK – TNT Sports subscribers can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and discovery+, while the early prelims can be streamed on UFC Fight Pass / USA – ESPN+ & UFC Fight Pass
For viewers in the United States, UFC 307 will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!
UFC 307 MAIN CARD EVENT
Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. (Light Heavyweight)
Raquel Pennington vs Julianna Peña (Women’s Bantamweight)
José Aldo vs Mario Bautista (Bantamweight)
Ketlen Vieira vs Kayla Harrison (Women’s Bantamweight)
Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland (Middleweight)
UFC 307 Prelims
Stephen Thompson vs Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight)
Marina Rodriguez vs Iasmin Lucindo (Women’s Strawweight)
César Almeida vs Ihor Potieria (Middleweight)
Austin Hubbard vs Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight)
Ryan Spann vs Ovince Saint Preux (Light Heavyweight)
Carla Esparza vs Tecia Pennington (Women’s Strawweight)
Court McGee vs Tim Means (Welterweight)
JOSÉ ALDO: UFC LEGEND TARGETING TITLE RUN ONE AGAIN
UFC legend Jose Aldo (32-8) is targeting another title run at the ripe old age of 38-years-old and he comes into this bout having won four of his last five fights. While a title run may seem improbable as there is a clear drop off from when he was at his peak, Aldo is still showing that he can compete at a high level and this bout will certainly test that. After losing to recently-crowned champion Merab Dvalishvili in August 2022, Aldo had almost two years away from the Octagon as he retired from MMA and took a couple of boxing matches. He did however return in May at UFC 301 where he picked up a unanimous decision win over Jonathan Martinez, and now he has a relatively quick turnaround to face Bautista.
MARIO BAUTISTA: SIX-FIGHT WIN STREAK FOR SURGING BAUTISTA
Mario Bautista (14-2) is hoping to make a statement with a win against a UFC legend here and extend his current win streak to seven. During this six-fight streak, he has won four by submission and the last two have come via the scorecards. The win over Da’Mon Blackshear was somewhat controversial as many disagreed with the judges’ decision but Bautista has built some good momentum over the last two years. The Nevada native is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and he will know a victory here will catapult him up the rankings in the bantamweight division.
JOSÉ ALDO VS MARIO BAUTISTA PREDICTION
This fight is one of the most evenly-matched bouts on the card at UFC 307 as Jose Aldo meets Mario Bautista. The outcome of this match very much depends on what Jose Aldo has left in the tank. He appears to have lost a little of his punching power but all the fundamentals are strong.
Bautista is strong when it comes to submissions but he will have his work cut out trying to submit Aldo who has not lost via submission since 2005. They may very well stalemate when it comes to the ground game.
Aldo’s last five bouts have gone the distance and it would be no surprise if this one follows suit. With Bautista not possessing huge knockout power and submissions unlikely to be a factor here, this one is surely going to the scorecards. We have a marginal preference for Aldo who appears to be as hungry as ever and we like his experience in this one. But our pick from a betting perspective is on this one going the distance.
PREDICTION: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE