The Stats Zone
November 15 2024, 16:21 · Rob Esteva
Updated: November 15 2024, 17:14

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop at UFC 309 | Preview & Prediction

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop at UFC 309 | Preview & Prediction

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts!

The man card at UFC 309 at Madison Square Garden gets underway with Mauricio Ruffy and James Llontop meeting in the UFC's lightweight division

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop Facts

When is UFC 309? UK – the extra preliminary card starts at 11:00pm on Saturday November 16th 2024, followed by the preliminary card at 1:00am (Sunday) and the main card at 3:00am (Sunday) / USA – 6:00pm/8:00pm/10:00pm ET and 3:00pm/5:00pm/7:00pm PT

Where is UFC 309? Madison Square Garden

Where can I get tickets for UFC 309? Click here for the latest ticket information for UFC 309

What TV channel is UFC 309 on? UK – TNT Sports / USA – ESPN+

Where can I stream UFC 309? UK – TNT Sports subscribers can stream the event online via the TNT Sports website and discovery+ / USA – ESPN+ & UFC Fight Pass

For viewers in the United States, UFC 309 will be shown live on ESPN+ and you can sign up for access as part of a Disney Bundle here!

What time are Mauricio Ruffy and James Llontop expected to walk out? Sunday 17th November, 2024, 3:15am UK / Saturday 16th November, 10:15pm US ET / 7:15pm US PT

UFC 309 Main Card

Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic (Heavyweight)

Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler (Lightweight)

Viviane Araujo vs Karine Silva (Women’s Flyweight)

Bo Nickal vs Paul Craig (Middleweight)

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop (Lightweight)

UFC 309 Prelims

Jonathan Martinez vs Marcus McGhee (Bantamweight)

Chris Weidman vs Eryk Anders (Middleweight)

Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson (Lightweight)

Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz (Heavyweight)

Mickey Gall vs Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight)

Bassil Hafez vs Oban Elliot (Welterweight)

Veronica Hardy vs Eduarda Moura (Women’s Flyweight)

Mauricio Ruffy: Brazilian riding five-fight win streak

Mauricio Ruffy (10-1) is riding a five-fight win streak coming into this bout and his confidence will be high after winning his UFC debut. At UFC 301, Ruffy met Jamie Mullarkey proceeded to get the TKO in the first round. He earned his shot in the UFC after coming through Dana White's Contender Series in October 2023 and the Brazilian will be looking to make his mark in the lightweight division.

James Llontop: Contender Series grad seeks first win in UFC

James Llontop (14-4) is another graduate from Dana White’s Contender Series but he has yet to enjoy the same success that Ruffy has. He has lost both of his fights in the Octagon and will now look to get his first win at his third time of asking. He lost his first fight to Chris Padilla by submission and then lost a split decision to Viacheslav Borshchev at UFC on ESPMN 62 in August. The 25-year-oild Peruvian will be desperate to get a win in the biggest fight of his career.

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop Prediction

The lightweights kick off the main card and this fight is the most one-sided according to the bookmakers. Ruffy is hotly favoured and that is largely due to his five-fight win streak and the fact he has knocked out all of those opponents.

He comes to UFC 309 eager to make a statement on the biggest stage of his career and you would not bet against him. Llontop is coming off consecutive losses and it is hard to make a case for him in this fight.

He is tough and durable however, as the Peruvian has never been stopped via knockout in 18 professional MMA fights. His chin will be seriously tested here however. We cannot pick anything other than a Ruffy win and a likely stoppage.

Prediction: Mauricio Ruffy to win