Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima Preview & Prediction | 2025 Indian Wells Open (BNP Paribas Open) | Third Round

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Fresh off eliminating one of the top seeds in Andrey Rublev, Matteo Arnaldi now meets 32nd-seed Brandon Nakashima for a place in the round of 16

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time: Monday 10th March, 2025: UK – not before 8:20pm / US ET – not before 3:20pm / US PT – not before 12:20pm

Venue:  Indian Wells Tennis Garden, Indian Wells, USA

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima ticket information

Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi is enjoying his week so far at Indian Wells and he will be fired up after his win over seventh-seed Andrey Rublev. There was little in the match that was littered with errors against Rublev, but ultimately Arnaldi broke Rublev more times than the Russian managed to break him (six versus four) and both players serve percentages were particularly low.

Nevertheless, Arnaldi will be excited to kick on and he now faces another seeded player in Brandon Nakashima. The pair actually met in Delray Beach just a couple of weeks ago and it was Arnaldi who won that match 7-6 6-4.

Nakashima won his opening match here 7-5 6-1 against Rinky Hijikata where he fired down an impressive 14 aces. That will give him good confidence in what has been a mixed start to 2025 for him so far.

There is not a great dividing these two players in so many areas but we just lean towards Arnaldi for the momentum he has. He may benefit from having played the extra match in the first round and combined with the fact he beat Nakashima just a few weeks ago, we like his chances of following it up here.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Brandon Nakashima Tip: Matteo Arnaldi to win