The Stats Zone
February 25 2025, 13:15 · Rob Esteva

Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Preview & Prediction | 2025 Mexican Open | First Round

Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Preview & Prediction | 2025 Mexican Open | First Round

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Holger Rune is the fourth seed in Mexico this week and he will be hoping to build some momentum ahead of the Sunshine Double as he takes on Spaniard Roberto Carballes Baena

Ranking points: ATP 500

Start date/time: Wednesday 26th February, 2025: UK – not before 12:00am / Tuesday 25th February US ET – not before 7:00pm / US PT – not before 4:00pm

Venue: Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena ticket information

Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Denmark’s Holger Rune has not quite got going yet in 2025 and he comes off another disappointing week in Buenos Aires where he was eliminated in his opening match against Mariano Navone. He was the second seed in that tournament but he could not take advantage of that and he will be hoping to show more in Acapulco this week.

His opponent Roberto Carballes Baena has had a similar start to the year and after some positive results early on, he has lost in his opening match in the last three tournaments he has played.

On his day, he is very capable of upsetting top 20 players but he hast just one win against a top ten player and that came against Rune in the US Open in 2023.

Carballes Baena leads the head-to-head 2-1 and it will be interesting to see how this one plays out. The Spaniard has been woeful of late and while Rune has not been much better, we just favour him to get the win here. 

Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tip: Holger Rune to win