The Stats Zone
February 26 2025, 14:13 · Rob Esteva

Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima Preview & Prediction | 2025 Mexican Open | Round of 16

Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima Preview & Prediction | 2025 Mexican Open | Round of 16

Click here for today’s sports betting tips from our expert analysts! 

Holger Rune comes into this round of 16 clash with Brandon Nakashima as the marginal favourite despite never having beaten the American in three previous meetings

Ranking points: ATP 500

Start date/time: Thursday 27th February, 2025: UK – not before 1:10am / Wednesday 26th February US ET – not before 8:10pm / US PT – not before 5:10pm

Venue: Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico

Surface: Outdoor hard

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima ticket information

Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Holger Rune beat Roberto Carballes Baena on Tuesday night 7-6 6-3 and the fourth seed will have been relatively happy with his performance. He will want to step up a level in the round of 16 especially against an opponent who he has never beaten in three previous meetings.

Brandon Nakashima is ranked 29 places below Rune at 42 in the world but he has an excellent record having beaten the Dane in three previous encounters. The first came at the Next Gen Finals back in 2021 but they met in 2023 in Shanghai and then the US Open last year and Nakashima won those two 6-0 6-2 and 6-2 6-1 6-4 respectively.

Nakashima has dominated him and that will surely weigh on Rune’s mind coming into this one. Nakashima was not at his best against Benjamin Bonzi as he won 7-6 7-5 in the first round but he too will know he needs to step it up here. Nakashima has the edge in recent form and also in their previous meetings, so he gets our vote here.

Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima Tip: Brandon Nakashima to win