Hawthorn vs Essendon Preview & Prediction | 2025 AFL | Regular Season | Round 1

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The 2025 AFL season continues with a classic rivalry match as Hawthorn take on Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, March 14th.

Kick-off date/time: Friday 14th March, 2025: UK – 8:40am / US ET – 4:40am / US PT – 1:40am

How to watch on TV: UK – TNT Sports / US – Some matches are televised on Fox Sports channels

How to watch online: UK – discovery+ & Watch AFL / US – Watch AFL

The Prediction

Hawthorn enter come into this having secured a 20-point victory over Sydney in the opening round last week. The Hawks' early statement has set the tone for what they hope will be a successful season, building on their semi-final appearance in 2024.

Essendon, on the other hand, will be playing their first competitive match of the season. The Bombers' scheduled opener game against Gold Coast was postponed due to Cyclone Alfred, and this unexpected break could either work in their favour, providing extra preparation time, or leave them slightly rusty compared to their opponents.

Recent history in Round 1 matchups between these two sides favours Essendon. The Bombers have won their last two season openers against Hawthorn, including a 24-point victory last year. However, overall head-to-head statistics since 1980 show a closely matched rivalry, with Essendon holding a slight 39-35 edge.

Key players to watch for Hawthorn include their midfield stars who were instrumental in their opening victory. For Essendon, all eyes will be on how their squad performs in their first outing of the season, particularly their forward line against Hawthorn's defence.

While Essendon have had recent success in Round 1 against Hawthorn, the Hawks' strong start to the season and home ground advantage at the MCG give them an edge. Expect a competitive match, but Hawthorn should prevail.

Tip: Hawthorn to win