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March 22 2025, 08:29 · Alex Lawes
Updated March 22 2025, 15:26

Germany vs Italy Preview: Team News & Prediction | 2024-25 UEFA Nations League | Quarter-Final

Germany vs Italy Preview: Team News & Prediction | 2024-25 UEFA Nations League | Quarter-Final
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In what is arguably European international football’s greatest derby and rivalry, the two sides played out another entertaining clash in the first-leg of this UEFA Nations League quarter-final.

Kick-off date/time: Sunday 23rd March, 2025: UK – 7:45pm / US ET – 3:45pm / US PT – 12:45pm

How to watch on TV: UK – Not televised / US – FOX Sports

How to watch online: UK – Amazon Prime Video / US – FOX Sports streaming platforms

Germany Preview: Resilient Germans

That aforementioned first-leg took place at San Siro in Milan and, as they have done often now under Luciano Spalletti, Italy got off to a fast start and took the lead via Newcastle United midfielder Sandro Tonali in the ninth minute but Die Mannschaft managed to turn it around.

Germany produced a second-half comeback thanks to a 49th minute equaliser from Tim Kleindienst and then a 76th minute winner scored by Leon Goretzka, who is enjoying something of a career revival in both club and international football of late.

Italy Preview: Attacking Azzurri

Now, as the two sides prepare to face off at the Westfalenstadion, home of Borussia Dortmund where they met in the semi-finals of the 2006 FIFA World Cup with Italy winning 2-0 after extra-time, things are delicately poised for what could be an entertaining clash.

Both Italy and Germany have sought to play an entertaining, progressive style of football with coaches Spalletti and Julian Nagelsmann both of the forward-thinking mindset of many modern day coaches. That leaves the possibilities for this second-leg wide open this week.

Germany Team News: Raum dilemma

Julian Nagelsmann has no fresh injury concerns to deal with but is likely to make a couple of changes to his starting eleven with Nico Schlotterbeck and Tim Kleindienst making a good impact off the bench when replacing Jonathan Burkardt and David Raum.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Baumann; Kimmich, Tah, Rudiger, Schlotterbeck; Gross, Goretzka; Sane, Musiala, Leweling; Kleindienst

Unavailable: 

Questionable: 

Italy Team News: Potential changes

Much like Nagelsmann and Germany, Italy do not have any injury issues from the last game but there could be a few changes made to their eleven with the likes of Alessandro Buongiorno and Davide Frattesi keen to start. Atalanta striker Mateo Retegui withdrew from the squad last week.

Predicted XI (3-5-1-1): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni; Politano, Frattesi, Rovella, Tonali, Udogie; Barella; Kean

Unavailable: 

Questionable: 

Key Stats

  • Excluding penalty shoot-outs, Germany have not lost any of their last seven international matches against Italy (W3 D4).
  • Germany have won their last two international matches at home against Italy, most recently, a 5-2 victory in a UEFA Nations League group encounter in June 2022.
  • Germany are unbeaten in their last eight UEFA Nations League matches (W5 D3).
  • Germany have lost only two of their last 20 UEFA Nations League matches (W8 D10).
  • Germany have lost only one of their previous 11 UEFA Nations League matches in Germany (W5 D5). They won all their previous three home matches in the 2024/25 edition without conceding a goal (GF-13 GA-0).
  • Germany have only failed to score in two of their last 21 UEFA Nations League matches.
  • Italy have won their last four UEFA Nations League matches outside of Italy.
  • Italy have lost only two of their previous 12 UEFA Nations League matches outside of Italy (W8 D2).
  • Italy have only failed to score in one of their last 20 UEFA Nations League matches.
  • Italy have scored in the first half in each of their last ten UEFA Nations League matches.

Germany vs Italy Prediction

Germany will seek to play a front foot and attacking style of football in this second-leg, seeking to force home their one-goal advantage with some entertaining football. Die Mannschaft have an intense pressing style, whilst the Italians have proved themselves more than capable against strong teams on the counter-attack away from home, such as their 3-1 win in France in the autumn. The clash of styles and first-leg scoreline makes for an intriguing clash in this second-leg.

Germany vs Italy Tip: Both teams to score

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