Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Preview & Prediction | 2025 Madrid Open | Round of 16

The USA’s Frances Tiafoe meets Italy’s Matteo Arnaldi for a place in the quarter-finals.

Ranking points: ATP 1000

Start date/time: Wednesday 30th April, 2025: UK – not before 10am / US ET – not before 5am / US PT – not before 2am

Venue: Park Manzanares, Madrid, Spain

Surface: Outdoor clay

How to watch on TV: UK – Sky Sports Tennis / US – Tennis Channel

How to watch online: UK – Sky Go / US – Tennis Channel

Tickets: Visit this link for the latest Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi ticket information

Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction

Frances Tiafoe will be anticipating a tricky tussle with Matteo Arnaldi in Madrid.

The American came from two sets down to prevail at Wimbledon last year in what is their only previous meeting, but the Italian offers a greater threat on clay.

Arnaldi’s confidence is sky high from his excellent win over Novak Djokovic, and he followed that up with a 6-3 6-4 success over Damir Dzumhur last time out. 

Tiafoe was impressive as he took down in-form Alexandre Muller 6-3 6-3 and is now on his best run to-date in Madrid. 

It depends which Big Foe turns up, but Arnaldi is revelling in the spotlight right now and the more favourable odds could be to back him for the upset at the expense of the 16th seed here. 

Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi tip: Matteo Arnaldi to win