June 21, 2024 1:17 AM
Alex Lawes

Switzerland vs Germany Preview & Prediction | UEFA EURO 2024 | Group Stage

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There is a battle for top spot in the group at the Waldstadion in Frankfurt with Switzerland having the potential to overthrow the Germans with a victory. Qualification is not yet 100% assured for the Swiss, though.

KICK-OFF DATE/TIME: Sunday 23rd June, 2024 - UK – 8:00pm / US EST – 3:00pm / US PST – 1:00pm

HOW TO WATCH ON TV: UK – BBC / US – FOX

HOW TO WATCH ONLINE: UK – BBC iPlayer / US – VIX

SWITZERLAND PREVIEW: EASING THROUGH

Switzerland came into the tournament with an ageing squad that stumbled through qualifying and reports of in-fighting between captain Granit Xhaka and manager Murat Yakin. However, the Swiss began their campaign with an impressive 3-1 defeat of Hungary, albeit a two-goal margin certainly flattered them, before a draw with the Scots.

In that clash with Scotland in Cologne on Wednesday, they fell behind early on to a deflected Scott McTominay strike but yet another screamer from Xherdan Shaqiri at a major tournament brought them back level. The Swiss are not yet through but they do head into the final match day knowing they could indeed top Group A.

GERMANY PREVIEW: KEEPING THE MOMENTUM

After an emphatic 5-1 demolition of Scotland on opening night at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany followed that up with a comfortable 2-0 defeat of Hungary the other day. Jamal Musiala opened the scoring after some good work by Ilkay Gundogan in the first-half and then Gundogan, the German skipper, notched for himself mid-way through the second 45 minutes.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side did show some vulnerabilities in that game against the Hungarians but they are easing themselves through to the Round of 16. There is a scenario developing whereby the bottom-half of the draw ‘opens up’ and that would involve Germany finishing as runners’ up in this group but that is unlikely to be too much of a distraction.

SWITZERLAND TEAM NEWS: BRINGING EMBOLO BACK

Murat Yakin has been very careful to bring Breel Embolo back after a long injury layoff throughout this season but the Monaco forward has made an excellent impact off the bench in both games so, with the Swiss basically through, his selection from the start ahead of the knockouts may finally be in the offing.

PREDICTED XI (X-X-X-X): Sommer; Schar, Akanji, Rodriguez; Widmer, Freuler, Xhaka, Aebischer; Shaqiri; Vargas, Embolo

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE: Zuber (Injured)

GERMANY TEAM NEWS: POTENTIAL ROTATION

Germany are already through to the Round of 16 so potential rotation could be expected from Die Mannschaft. That said, they haven’t yet won the group so there will still need to be caution with regards to that. Leroy Sane may get a run out from the start alongside Emre Can and David Raum, whilst Marc-Andre ter Stegen may be aggrieved if he doesn’t see the pitch at all in the groups.

PREDICTED XI (4-2-3-1): Ter Stegen; Kimmich, Rudiger, Tah, Raum; Can, Kroos; Sane, Gundogan, Musiala; Havertz

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE:

KEY STATS

  • Germany have lost only one of their last 21 matches against Switzerland (W16 D4). However, they are without a win in the last three meetings (D2 L1). The most recent of which were in the UEFA Nations League in 2020 when both matches finished level.
  • All the previous four major final tournament fixtures between Switzerland and Germany have come at the FIFA World Cup. Firstly, in 1938 when Switzerland progressed from their round one tie with a 4-2 win in a replay after the original match was a 1-1 draw. Germany (competing as West Germany), won the next two encounters, beating Switzerland 2-1 in the group stage at the1962 finals and then 5-0 at the same stage of the tournament four years later.
  • This is Switzerland’s sixth group stage appearance and they are aiming to reach the knockout rounds in a third successive tournament. They did not make it further than the group stage in their first three participations.
  • Excluding penalty shoot-outs, Switzerland have lost only one of their last 12 EURO matches (W4 D7).
  • Switzerland have lost only one of their last nine EURO group stage matches (W4 D4).
  • Switzerland have lost only one of their last 16 international matches (W7 D8).
  • Switzerland have scored in five successive EURO matches for the first time.
  • Four points after two matches equals Switzerland’s best start to a EURO group stage campaign which they achieved in 2016 when they went on to draw against the host nation France in their third match. They face the host nation in their third match on this occasion too.
  • If they avoid defeat, Switzerland will complete a EURO group stage without losing a match for the second time having previously done so at EURO 2016 (W1 D2).
  • A victory for Switzerland would mean they have won two matches in a EURO group stage for the first time.
  • Switzerland have never finished top of a EURO group; their best finish is second place in their group at EURO 2016.
  • Switzerland’s total of four goals scored in two games at EURO 2024 has already matched their highest total in a EURO group which they recorded at EURO 2020.
  • Switzerland have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight EURO matches.
  • Germany have now progressed to the knockout rounds in five successive EURO final tournaments.
  • Germany have won their first two matches in a EURO group for the fourth time. The only time they have gone on to win all three group matches was at EURO 2012.
  • Germany have completed a EURO group without losing a match on five previous occasions (1980, 1988, 1996, 2012, 2016).
  • Germany are aiming to win their EURO group for the sixth time.
  • Germany's total of seven goals scored in the group stage at EURO 2024 is already their highest tally in a EURO group, beating their previous best of six (EURO 2020).
  • Germany have lost only one of their last 12 EURO group stage matches (W9 D2).
  • Germany have only failed to score in two of their last 15 EURO group matches.
  • Only one of Germany’s last 24 EURO matches have finished without a goal being scored.
  • Germany have won five and drawn one of their six international matches in the current calendar year.
  • Jamal Musiala could become the first German player to score in all three matches in a EURO group stage campaign and the first Germany player to score in three successive EURO final tournament matches.
  • Manuel Neuer is set to make his 18th EURO appearance, which would see him beat the record by a goalkeeper, set by Gianluigi Buffon who made 17 appearances for Italy. Neuer would also tie Bastian Schweinsteiger’s German record of 18 EURO appearances.

SWITZERLAND VS GERMANY PREDICTION

A similar scenario to this happened for Switzerland back in 2016 when they faced hosts France in their final group game with France already through and Switzerland on four points. What developed was one of the worst games of association football in the history of the sport as it finished goalless. A similar result and performance from both sides, as it suits both and avoids the risk of injury from over exertion, would not be too surprising with the main focus on Sunday being the other game in the group between Scotland and Hungary.

SWITZERLAND VS GERMANY TIP: UNDER 2.5 GOALS

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