Spain vs Germany Preview & Prediction | UEFA EURO 2024 | Quarter-Final

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Many pundits and supporters would suggest this one would make a worthy final given the performances of the two teams so far but only one of the two leading contenders for UEFA EURO 2024 will make it through to the semi-finals.

KICK-OFF DATE/TIME: Friday 5^th July, 2024 - UK – 5:00pm / US ET – 12:00pm / US PT – 9:00am

HOW TO WATCH ON TV: UK – ITV / US – FOX

HOW TO WATCH ONLINE: UK – ITVX / US – ViX

SPAIN PREVIEW: GOOD BETWEEN THE BOXES

Heading into the tournament, there were some major doubts about Spain at both ends of the pitch with La Roja being guilty of profligacy in attack and a lack of robust defending at the back. Luis de la Fuente’s side have, though, eased themselves into the quarter-finals with nine goals scored and just one goal conceded.

However, against Croatia, they gave up a lot of chances before being caught on counter-attacks against both Albania and Georgia. They look supreme on the ball and attack with intensity and vigour but this is the first real challenge of the tournament for the Spanish after the underwhelming campaigns and performances of Italy and Croatia.

GERMANY PREVIEW: LEARNING TO WIN AGAIN

After failing to win a single knockout match since UEFA EURO 2016, Die Mannschaft defeated Denmark by two goals to nil in a controversial encounter in Dortmund last weekend. With Denmark having a goal ruled out and then Germany being given what is quite a harsh penalty, albeit probably still the correct call, they did eventually get themselves over the line.

They lit up the tournament in the very first match with a 5-1 hammering of Scotland and they are the only team to have scored more goals in the competition than Spain with ten notched and they have conceded just two, too. The public and their imagination has been recaptured, now it is time to complete the job for Julian Nagelsmann.

SPAIN TEAM NEWS: DANI OLMO PUSHING

After a goal and another excellent cameo against Georgia, Dani Olmo is pushing for a starting spot in this Spain eleven but the only player he could really come in for would be Pedri, given the form of Fabian Ruiz, so that remains highly unlikely.

PREDICTED XI (4-3-3): Unai Simon; Dani Carvajal, Le Normand, Laporte, Cucurella; Pedri, Rodri, Fabian Ruiz; Lamine Yamal, Alvaro Morata, Nico Williams

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE:

GERMANY TEAM NEWS: TAH RETURNS

Julian Nagelsmann was forced to swap out the suspended Jonathan Tah against Denmark with Nico Schlotterbeck, who did play well, coming in but Tah is expected to return. David Raum is expected to keep his place in the team ahead of of Maximilian Mittelstadt but the underwhelming Leroy Sane may find himself replaced again by Florian Wirtz on the right wing.

PREDICTED XI (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Kimmich, Rudiger, Tah, Raum; Andrich, Kroos; Wirtz, Gundogan, Musiala; Havertz

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE:

KEY STATS

• Spain have lost only one of the last eight matches between these two teams (W4 D3).
• Spain and Germany have met three times previously in EURO final tournaments with Spain winning twice and Germany once: Spain 1-0 West Germany (1984 group stage), West Germany 2-0 Spain (1988 group stage) and Spain 1-0 Germany (2008 final).
• The overall head-to-head record reads: Spain wins – 8, Draws – 9, Germany wins – 9.
• Spain have won three and lost two of their previous five EURO quarter-final ties. They have been successful in each of the last three. The last time Spain exited in the quarter-finals was at EURO 2000 against France (L 2-1).
• Three of Spain’s previous five EURO quarter-final ties were decided by a penalty shoot-out (W2 L1 in the shoot-outs).
• Spain have won four successive EURO matches for the first time (excluding penalty shoot-outs).
• The round of 16 tie against Georgia was Spain’s 50th EURO match. Only Germany (57) have played more.
• Excluding penalty shoot-outs, Spain have lost only two of their last 26 EURO matches (W17 D7).
• Excluding penalty shoot-outs, Spain have not lost any of their last ten EURO matches (W6 D4).
• Spain have won 11 and drawn one of their last 12 competitive matches.
• Spain have been losing at half-time in only one of their last 23 EURO matches.
• Spain have scored in each of their last nine EURO matches. This is their longest sequence of successive EURO matches with a goal scored.
• Spain have been losing at half-time in only one of their last 23 EURO matches.
• Álvaro Morata is set to make his 15th EURO appearance. The only other Spanish players to reach the landmark are Jordi Alba (16), Cesc Fàbregas (16), Andrés Iniesta (16), Sergio Ramos (15) and David Silva (15).
• Pedri, Unai Simón, Aymeric Laporte and Ferran Torres have all made nine EURO appearance for Spain. Pedri (21y 223d) could become the youngest player to reach ten EURO appearances in the history of the tournament, beating the record held by Renato Sanches (23y 213d Portugal vs Belgium, EURO 2020 round of 16).
• Germany have won all their previous four EURO quarter-final ties, most recently in 2016 when they progressed against Italy via a penalty shoot-out. The other three ties were all won in normal time.
• Germany's total of ten goals at EURO 2024 has matched their highest ever tally in a EURO final tournament. They previously scored ten in 1996, 2008 and 2012).
• Only one of Germany’s last 26 EURO matches have finished without a goal being scored.
• Germany have won six and drawn two of their eight international matches in the current calendar year.
• Only one of Germany’s last ten EURO knockout matches has gone into extra-time.
• Manuel Neuer is set to be only the third player after Cristiano Ronaldo (29) and Pepe (22) to reach the landmark of 20 EURO appearances. He has already played more EURO matches than any Germany player, his 19th appearance against Denmark moving him one clear of the previous record holder Bastian Schweinsteiger and Toni Kroos who made his 18th appearance.
• Leroy Sané is set to make his tenth EURO appearance for Germany. He would be the 21st German player to reach the landmark. No team has had as many players with ten or more EURO appearances.

SPAIN VS GERMANY PREDICTION

We will hopefully have an absolute thriller for this first UEFA EURO 2024 quarter-final. The Spanish have been exhilarating to watch with their accuracy and precision in midfield combined with the unbelievable talents of Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal. Germany, though, have special talents of their own with potential Player of the Tournament Jamal Musiala enjoying a potential seminal major international tournament. It seems unlikely this will not be entertaining to watch and both teams scoring would appear a good bet.

SPAIN VS GERMANY TIP: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE