The Stats Zone
June 18 2024, 13:16 · Alex Lawes

Germany vs Hungary Preview & Prediction | UEFA EURO 2024 | Group Stage

Germany vs Hungary Preview & Prediction | UEFA EURO 2024 | Group Stage

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Julian Nagelsmann and Germany are looking to become the first team to mathematically sail through to the Round of 16 of UEFA EURO 2024 as the hosts face a Hungarian side needing at least a point on Wednesday.

KICK-OFF DATE/TIME: Wednesday 19th June, 2024 - UK – 5:00pm / US EST – 12:00pm / US PST – 10:00am

HOW TO WATCH ON TV: UK – BBC / US – FOX

HOW TO WATCH ONLINE: UK – BBC iPlayer / US – VIX

GERMANY PREVIEW: ROLLING THROUGH THE GROUPS

Germany’s opening match against Scotland was about rebuilding the relationship between the team and the supporters. Julian Nagelsmann had begun to do that with excellent friendly performances and victories over the French and the Dutch in the March international break but something emphatic on the big stage was still required.

Something emphatic indeed did come against a miserably sloppy Scottish side at the Allianz Arena in Munich on Friday. Germany ran rampant throughout the game a 5-1 hammering of the Scots will be perhaps be a little frustrating for Nagelsmann because there is no way they should not have kept a clean sheet and they had plenty of chances to increase that score-line.

HUNGARY PREVIEW: STARTING WELL TO BE KEY

The relativist tactical style of Marco Rossi and his Hungarian national side was a bit ‘Jekyll and Hyde’ at the weekend as they struggled to get to grips with an experienced Swiss side full of nous and genuine quality themselves in the first-half before really growing into the game in the second 45 minutes.

They grew into the game so much that they will be left gutted that they departed the RheinEnergie Stadion in Cologne without at least a point. At 2-1 for much of the second-half, they created lots of openings, especially with crosses from out-wide, but were undone late on by an excellent counter-attack finished off well by Breel Embolo to give what was an unfair 3-1 defeat.

GERMANY TEAM NEWS: UNCHANGED, GO AGAIN

Julian Nagelsmann is once again blessed with no fresh injuries following Aleksandar Pavlovic’s late withdrawal due to tonsilitis last week but even his replacement, Emre Can, came on and notched in that rout of Scotland. Die Mannschaft will look to get this group and Round of 16 qualification wrapped up before changes in their final game.

PREDICTED XI (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Kimmich, Rudiger, Tah, Mittelstadt; Andrich, Kroos; Wirtz, Gundogan, Musiala; Havertz

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE:

HUNGARY TEAM NEWS: PICKING UP FROM THE SECOND-HALF

One of the key areas in Marco Rossi’s system that was weak against the Swiss on Saturday was the right wing-back slot, both in defence and in attack. Le Havre’s Loic Nego, who has been a stalwart for the Hungarians, remains a doubt so former Wolverhampton Wanderers man Bendeguiz Bolla is expected to keep his place.

PREDICTED XI (3-4-2-1): Gulacsi; Lang, Orban, Szalai; Bolla, A. Nagy, Schafer, Kerkez; Sallai, Szoboszlai; Varga

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE: Nego (Injured)

KEY STATS

  • Germany are aiming to win their first two matches in a EURO group for the fourth time. They previously did so in 1980 and 1996 when they went on to win the tournament and in 2012 when they also reached the final.
  • Germany have lost only one of their last 11 EURO group stage matches (W8 D2).
  • Germany have not kept a clean sheet in their last seven EURO matches. Since a 3-0 victory against Slovakia in the round of 16 at EURO 2016.
  • Germany have only failed to score in two of their last 14 EURO group matches.
  • Only one of Germany’s last 23 EURO matches have finished without a goal being scored.
  • Germany have won four and drawn one of their five international matches in the current calendar year.
  • Germany’s total of five goals scored in the group stage at EURO 2024 is already only one short of their highest tally in a EURO group which is six (EURO 2020).
  • Thomas Müller and Manuel Neuer both made their 16th EURO appearance against Scotland, only Bastian Schweinsteiger (18) has more EURO appearances for Germany.
  • Germany and Hungary are meeting in the group stage in a second successive EURO final tournament following their 2-2 draw at EURO 2020.
  • Hungary defeated Germany 1-0 in Leipzig when the two teams last met in September 2022 (UEFA Nations League).
  • Hungary have scored the first goal in their last three international matches against Germany.
  • Hungary are without a win in their last seven EURO matches (D4 L3). Since a 2-0 victory against Austria in their opening fixture at EURO 2016.
  • Hungary have never lost successive EURO group matches.
  • Hungary’s have drawn their second match in their previous two EURO group stage appearances.
  • Hungary have kept only one clean sheet in their previous 12 EURO matches. That was in their 2-0 victory against Austria in their opening fixture at EURO 2016.
  • None of Hungary’s previous 12 EURO matches have finished without a goal being scored.
  • There has been a total of 23 goals scored in Hungary’s last six EURO matches (average of 3.8 goals per game).
  • Ádám Nagy is set to make his eighth EURO appearance meaning he will have the most all-time EURO appearances for Hungary. He currently shares the record with Ádám Szalai. Laszlo Kleinheisler could make his seventh appearance.

GERMANY VS HUNGARY PREDICTION

Germany were extremely enjoyable to watch against Scotland and it would be a dereliction of duty not to mention the mesmeric performance of Jamal Musiala alongside Florian Wirtz in their attack. They will seek to get after a Hungarian side that can look a little disjointed at times, as shown against Switzerland, but that helps them to be unpredictable in attack and the German defence was not remotely tested the other day, whereas it should be in this one. Another high-scoring and entertaining German victory is to be expected.

GERMANY VS HUNGARY TIP: GERMANY TO WIN & OVER 2.5 GOALS