The Stats Zone
June 18 2021, 15:25 · Alex Sarwar

UEFA EURO 2020 – Italy vs Wales Preview & Prediction

UEFA EURO 2020 – Italy vs Wales Preview & Prediction
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THE FACTS

When does Italy vs Wales kick off? Sunday 20th June, 2021 – 17:00 (UK)

Where is Italy vs Wales being played? Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Where can I get tickets for Italy vs Wales? Click here for the latest ticket information

What TV channel is Italy vs Wales on in the UK? ITV

Where can I stream Italy vs Wales in the UK? This match can be streamed live on the ITV Hub

HEAD-TO-HEAD

All matches: Italy 7 wins, Wales 2 wins, 0 draws

Last meeting: Italy 4-0 Wales (06/09/03)

THE LOWDOWN

ITALY

  • A second successive three nil triumph for Italy in their second Group A fixture against Switzerland, meant that the Azzurri were the first country to officially book their place in the knockout stage with six points from two matches.
  • Manuel Locatelli scored twice, whilst Ciro Immobile continued his good start to the tournament by getting on the scoresheet once again.
  • Italy are likely to be without captain Giorgio Chiellini for their final Group A fixture, after he was forced off vs Switzerland with a thigh injury and substitute Francesco Acerbi may be in line to replace him.

WALES

  • Wales’ crucial 2-0 triumph over Turkey leaves them on the brink of qualification into the round of 16, with four points accrued from their two Group A games thus far.
  • Despite missing a penalty, talismanic Gareth Bale put in an inspired performance for Robert Page’s side, assisting both goals first for Aaron Ramsey and then for Connor Roberts in the final minute of injury time.
  • Page may be tempted to set up more conservatively against Italy with Ethan Ampadu in with a chance of starting, although it would be no surprise if Wales once again line up unchanged with no injuries having been reported from the Welsh camp.

THE TEAM NEWS

ITALY

PREDICTED XI (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bonucci, Acerbi, Spinazzola; Barella, Jorginho, Locatelli; Chiesa, Immobile, Insigne

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE: Chiellini (Injured), Florenzi (Injured), Verratti (Fitness)

WALES

PREDICTED XI (4-1-4-1): Ward; Roberts, Mepham, Rodon, Davies; Allen; Bale, Morrell, Ramsey, James; Moore

UNAVAILABLE:

QUESTIONABLE:

THE KEY STATS

  • Italy have won their last ten international matches without conceding a goal – Italy to win to nil
  • Italy won each of their previous three competitive matches against Wales which were played in Italy – they scored four goals on each occasion (4-0, 4-0, 4-1) – Italy to score four goals and win the match
  • Italy have kept five clean sheets in their last six EURO final tournament group stage matches – Italy to keep a clean sheet
  • Ciro Immobile has scored in each of Italy’s last three international matches – Ciro Immobile to score anytime
  • Wales have only failed to score in one of their previous eight EURO final tournament matches – Wales to score

THE PREDICTION

If Wales were to pull off a shock victory here, they would finish as Group A winners and such an achievement stands as good motivation for them in this match. However, Italy are a huge level up in quality compared to the opposition Wales have faced so far, with Roberto Mancini’s men having been arguably the most impressive team at EURO 2020 so far. Whilst the Dragons will no doubt prove far tougher opponents than Turkey or Switzerland, the superior all-round ability of this Italian side should see them secure a third straight Group A victory in this one.

Tip: ITALY TO WIN

For fixtures, results, TV schedule, top scorers and plenty more, visit our tournament home page here!