November 20, 2023 2:20 PM
Adam Evans

Italy vs Netherlands Betting Preview & Prediction | 2023 Davis Cup Finals | Quarter-Final

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THE FACTS

When is Italy vs Netherlands on and what time does it start? Italy vs Netherlands will take place on Thursday 23rd November, 2023 – not before 09:00 (UK)

Where is Italy vs Netherlands taking place? Italy vs Netherlands will take place at Martin Carpena Arena in Malaga, Spain

What surface is Italy vs Netherlands being played on? Italy vs Netherlands will take place on an indoor hard court

Where can I get tickets for Italy vs Netherlands? Visit this link for the latest ticket information for Italy vs Netherlands

Where can I watch Italy vs Netherlands? All matches can be watched on Tennis Channel International’s Pay TV, while all Great Britain matches will be televised and streamed on BBC platforms

THE LOWDOWN

Italy can count on world number four Jannik Sinner’s support this week after the 21-year-old finished runner-up to Novak Djokovic at the ATP Finals on Sunday, just a few days on from beating the world number one for the first time in the group stages. Sinner should have enough time to recover from the disappointment of what looked like one match too many in Turin and playing for his country probably the best way to end what has been a superb best season yet. World number 27 Lorenzo Musetti brings no form at all into the last eight but number 47 Lorenzo Sonego has barely fared any better in recent months to leave plenty of responsibility on Sinner’s shoulders. Young Matteo Arnaldi may well come in as a ready and hungry second option this week whilst doubles should see the experience of Simone Bolelli partnered up with in-form Sinner in a life-or-death situation.

The Netherlands continue to perform above their weight at the Davis Cup, this year out-lasting a poor US side in the group stages after upsetting Great Britain last season. World number 23 Tallon Griekspoor has become a solid, dependable performer this season, in which he has picked up his first two ATP titles, whilst world number 51 Botic van de Zandschulp is far better than his current deflated ranking suggests. It is their doubles team, however, that could see them cause a huge upset here as doubles number eight Wesley Koolhof will anchor a partnership with either number 15 Jean-Julien Rojer or one of the singles players if required.

THE PREDICTION

The Netherlands have proven in recent seasons that strength in depth is more important than star quality at the Davis Cup Finals, or at least in the round robin stages. Tallon Griekspoor could have been backed to beat either of Italy’s ailing Lorenzos in this intriguing clash but he will likely falter under the pressure of world number four Jannik Sinner, who has quickly blossomed this season into a clear Grand Slam challenger next year. A lot of this tie rests on Van de Zandschulp’s ability to outlast one of Sonego, Musetti or Arnaldi – with Sonego likely getting the nod in indoor hardcourt conditions – but Italy’s confidence should be high with Sinner present. A doubles decider would be a thrilling conclusion but Sinner should be the key factor in this tie. Back Italy to win a much tighter clash than first appears.

BETTING TIP: ITALY TO WIN

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