Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Preview & Prediction | 2023-24 UEFA Champions League | Quarter-Final
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THE FACTS
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid on and what time does it start? Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid will take place on Tuesday 16th April, 2024 – 20:00 (UK)
Where can I get tickets for Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid? Visit each club’s official website for the latest ticket information
What channel is Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid on in the UK? Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid will be televised live on TNT Sports in the UK
Where can I stream Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid in the UK? Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid can be streamed live on the discovery+
THE LOWDOWN
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Edin Terzic is under a fair bit of pressure at Borussia Dortmund and there is an expectation that he will perhaps be departing the club at the end of the season but he has the chance to create some history as they welcome Atletico Madrid to the Signal Iduna Park with the deficit in this tie at just one goal.
Dortmund were by far the weaker team in the first-leg at the Metropolitano last week but a late Sebastian Haller strike means they have a real chance for this one. They come into this one on the back of an impressive and hard-fought 2-1 defeat of Borussia Monchengladbach at Borussia-Park at the weekend.
ATLETICO MADRID
Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid have often played a style of football known as ‘Cholismo’ which can be fairly tedious for the neutral but they have evolved and expanded that style. They showed real signs of that evolution last week as they raced into a 2-0 lead and were dominant for large parts but retreating into their shell, as is their want, has left this a nervy second-leg for Los Rojiblancos.
Atletico backed up that defeat of Dortmund by impressively defeating high flying Girona by three goals to one at the weekend. Artem Dovbyk scored a fourth minute opener in that game in the Spanish capital before a brace from Antoine Griezmann as well as a goal from Angel Correa cemented Atletico’s spot in the top four in La Liga.
THE TEAM NEWS
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Jadon Sancho was unavailable for the weekend’s clash with Borussia Monchengladbach due to illness and he is a doubt for this week. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens and Sebastian Haller have also picked up injuries since the first-leg.
PREDICTED XI (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Sabitzer, Can; Sancho, Brandt, Reus; Fullkrug
UNAVAILABLE: Bamba (Injured), Bensebaini (Injured), Haller (Injured)
QUESTIONABLE: Bynoe-Gittens (Injured), Sancho (Illness)
ATLETICO MADRID
Diego Simeone remains without key attacker, Round of 16 hero and Netherlands international Memphis Depay, for this second-leg. Samuel Lino picked up a yellow card last week and will be suspended for this trip to Germany, too.
PREDICTED XI (3-5-2): Oblak; Witsel, Gimenez, Azpilicueta; Molina, Llorente, Koke, De Paul, Riquelme; Griezmann, Morata
UNAVAILABLE: Lino (Suspended), Depay (Injured)
QUESTIONABLE: Saul (Injured), Lemar (Injured)
THE KEY STATS
- Dortmund are unbeaten in their last nine UEFA Champions League matches at home (W5 D4).
- Dortmund have kept seven clean sheets in their last nine UEFA Champions League matches at home.
- Dortmund have won two of their previous three home matches against Atlético in UEFA competitions. The most recent of which was a 4-0 victory in the 2018/19 UEFA Champions League group stage.
- Dortmund have lost only one of their last 10 UEFA competition matches at home against Spanish teams (W5 D4).
- Dortmund have won only three of their last 13 UEFA competition matches against Spanish teams (D5 L5).
- Dortmund have won eight of the 18 UEFA competition ties in which they lost the first leg away from home, although they were defeated in the last two, most recently against Manchester City in the 2020/21 Champions League quarter-finals (1-2 a, 1-2 h).
- Sébastien Haller has scored 12 goals in his 13 UEFA Champions League appearances (GS to F). Only Erling Haaland scored more goals in his first 13 appearances (Haaland scored 18). Simone Inzaghi also scored 12 in his 13 appearances in the competition.
- Dortmund are aiming to reach the UEFA Champions League semi-finals for the first time since 2012/13.
- Atlético have lost only one of their previous nine UEFA Champions League matches this season (W6 D2).
- Atlético have lost seven of their last eight UEFA competition matches away from home against German clubs (W1).
- Atlético have lost the second leg in only five of their last 28 UEFA competition two-legged ties (W19 D4).
- Atlético have won only one of their last eight UEFA competition matches away from home (D2 L5).
- Atlético have won 31 of the 39 UEFA competition ties in which they have won their home fixture in the first leg including 20 of the last 21.
- Atlético are aiming to reach the UEFA Champions League semi-finals for the first time since 2016/17.
THE PREDICTION
This match really shouldn’t be as close as it is as we head into the second-leg but there is a real opportunity for Borussia Dortmund to squeeze themselves past Atletico. However, there is an argument that this game is perfectly set up for the aforementioned style of ‘Cholismo’. Atletico are no longer a water tight defence but sitting back, soaking up pressure and hitting Dortmund on the counter attack with Antoine Griezmann and the perpetual motion of Marcos Llorente means the visitors seem a good value back here. Samuel Lino’s absence, for that reason, is an irritation for Atletico but their experience and nous against a Dortmund team hit by injury and illness looks a good bet.
TIP: ATLETICO MADRID TO WIN
